Analysis of economic operation situation of heavy machinery industry in the first half of the year and future development direction

Abstract I. Analysis of economic operation situation of heavy machine tool industry in the first half of 2010 In the first half of 2010, the total industrial output value of heavy machine tool industry actually completed 376.907 million yuan, down 10.18% from the same period of last year; sales revenue actually completed 30541...

I. Analysis of economic operation situation of heavy machine tool industry in the first half of 2010 In the first half of 2010, the total industrial output value of heavy machine tool industry actually completed 376.907 million yuan, down 10.18% year-on-year; the sales revenue actually completed 305.419 million yuan, compared with the same period last year. Decreased by 4.16%. The total profit was 269.985 million yuan, down 2.76% year-on-year; the export delivery value was 162.551 million yuan, down 4.9% year-on-year; the cumulative order volume was 909.441 million yuan, down 15.52% year-on-year.
On the basis of the obvious slowdown in economic indicators in 2009, the economic indicators of the whole industry in the first half of 2010 showed an overall decline. The main reason:
First, because of the impact of the international financial crisis and the inherent lag factors of heavy machine tool economic indicators.
Second, the total industrial output value of the heavy-duty machine tool industry in 2000 was 568.49 million yuan (including the output value of Qiqi). By 2009, the total industrial output value was 835.953 million yuan, and the growth rate was 13.7 times in 9 years. Since 2002, the total industrial output value has increased at an annual rate of 42.38% for seven consecutive years. Other economic indicators, such as sales revenue, total profit, and cumulative order quantity, are growing at a high rate of more than 35% per year on average, with a rapid increase and a large cumulative base. See the table below.

Third, during the “10th Five-Year Plan” and “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period, the heavy-duty machine tool user industry has increased investment in technological transformation, and there has been a period of high-end procurement of large-scale and heavy-duty processing equipment. Therefore, the time of the “11th Five-Year Plan” will end in 2010 and beyond. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, heavy machine tools will have a flat period of market demand. There will be a significant cooling trend for the demand for heavy-duty machine tools for both normal and low-end times.
Fourth, in recent years, China's heavy-duty machine tool manufacturers have been expanding. Some manufacturers have changed their traditional advantages in the past, and concentrated on launching a variety of heavy-duty machine tools, such as Shenyang Machine Tool Group and Dalian Machine Tool Group, to form emerging heavy-duty machine tool production bases. The technical advantages of machine tool manufacturers include heavy-duty machine tools such as CNC gantry boring and milling machine, CNC floor milling and boring machine, CNC vertical lathe, CNC large-scale machining center, CNC large-scale special machine tool, etc. The technical level is also superior in China. , occupying the forefront of high-end CNC heavy-duty machine tools. China's private machine tool manufacturing enterprises have developed rapidly in recent years. Ningbo Haitian Precision Machinery Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Xinrui Machine Tool (Group) Co., Ltd. and Rifa Precision Machinery are their representatives. Even Taiwan's machine tool industry (such as Rongde Machinery Co., Ltd.) Investing in capital and joining Europe and the United States to jointly develop and manufacture heavy-duty machine tools into the mainland market with the most advanced technology.
Fifth, the high-end CNC heavy-duty machine tools demanded by the domestic market are still mainly imported from abroad, occupying 30% of the domestic market demand. This has caused the domestic heavy machine tool market to become more competitive. With the convergence of technology and the emergence of homogenization competition, the industrial machinery manufacturing industry has entered a period of low profit, which has led to a significant decline in the growth rate of economic efficiency indicators of the heavy machine tool industry. The situation of rapid growth for many years will not appear again. In 2010 and the next “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the economic growth rate of the heavy machine tool industry can be maintained within the normal range of 7% to 15%.
Second, give full play to its own advantages and develop new high-end CNC heavy-duty machine tools that better meet the needs of users. In the international financial crisis, heavy-duty machine tools are relatively less impacted than other small industries in the machine tool industry, and the heavy-duty machine tool industry has A good foundation. Therefore, heavy machine tools will become the first major force in the “post-financial crisis period”. Heavy-duty machine tools will still play an important role in the construction of national key projects. We believe that the domestic market share of heavy-duty machine tools will expand year by year.
In order to cope with the impact of the international financial crisis and the domestic economic changes on China's equipment manufacturing industry, the heavy machinery industry should accelerate structural adjustment and enhance customer service awareness.
(1) Tracking the development trend of users' industry products, aiming at the user's process level requirements, developing and developing new multi-functional composite processing high-end CNC machine tools that meet the actual needs, will become the development direction of heavy-duty machine tools.
Heavy machine tool manufacturers are paying more and more attention to the improvement of product technology and variety, the awareness of market concepts and technological innovation is strengthening, attaching importance to improving the ability to provide key equipment for national key construction projects and seizing the opportunity to provide products, research and development. Major equipment required for major engineering projects.
In recent years, enterprises in the heavy-duty machine tool industry have successively launched a large-scale CNC crankshaft cyclone milling machining center that meets the urgent needs of the shipbuilding industry, and meets the wind power bearing processing series of CNC machine tools needed for domestic wind power engineering construction, including CNC vertical milling and drilling machining center and CNC. Vertical grinding machines, CNC gear hobbing machines and other products, according to user requirements, developed heavy-duty milling machines and heavy-duty forming gear grinding machines; for the nuclear power industry, the development of special CNC machine tools for processing nuclear reactor parts, the machine tool for processing large nuclear power Key parts pressure vessel and basket end face, inner and outer circle, inner ring groove and large holes for water inlet and outlet, realize the processing of large-scale nuclear power parts in one-time clamping and multi-process; recently, the CKP61100 powerful CNC lathe developed for aviation engine and steam turbine field, Accepted at the Shanghai Heavy Machine Tool Plant. Through the practice of enterprises, it is recognized that meeting the needs of users' industries and meeting the processing requirements of processed parts is the tracking point and the foothold of product development in today's heavy-duty machine tool industry. Only by constantly tracking the technical development of the user industry and meeting the requirements of processing technology, can we accurately provide the processing equipment that the user is satisfied with, and promote the innovative development of new products of heavy machine tools.
(2) Seize the market demand period, adjust the product structure, and expand the service sector.
In the heavy-duty machine tool industry, some manufacturers use the buffer period of market demand, aim at market demand, enter a wider range of product development, and enter the ranks of multi-variety manufacturers. For example, Qizhong CNC developed CNC series heavy-duty gear processing machine series products, such as gear hobbing machine, gear milling machine and forming gear grinding machine according to user requirements; Qinghai Huading Heavy Duty Machine Tool Co., Ltd. changed the traditional CNC horizontal lathe product, and newly launched XH2125 moving beam CNC gantry machining center and newly developed CNC floor-standing milling and boring machine with a diameter of 160 mm; Kunming Machine Tool Co., Ltd. changed the traditional products of horizontal boring machine and floor-type milling and boring machine. This year, XH2740 fixed beam gantry mobile boring and milling was launched. Machining Center; Beijing No. 1 Machine Tool Plant developed a fixed-beam double-column vertical turning machining center, which combined the technology of gantry milling machine and vertical lathe technology to create a double-table mobile composite machining center; Qi Er Machine Tool Group successfully developed the mast The world's largest CNC floor-mounted milling and boring machine with a diameter of 320mm expands the production of heavy-duty machine tools in all directions. Shenyang Machine Tool Group and Dalian Machine Tool Group form a new heavy-duty machine tool production base, which includes CNC gantry boring and milling machines and CNC floor-milling boring machines. CNC vertical lathe, CNC large-scale machining center, CNC large-scale Machine tools, machine tools and other heavy class.
(3) Develop its own advantages and develop special-purpose products that users urgently need. Qi Er Machine Tool Group Co., Ltd. dares to jump out of the machine tool product framework and develop a complete set of technology for large-scale composite component tape laying machine design, which can lay the foundation and provide equipment for the automatic laying of large aircraft fuselage, wing and super large composite wind power blades. And jointly developed with the university to develop multi-coordinate linkage processing machine tools. The SUC8210 cylinder head cooling water hole heat-resistant block processing CNC machine tool developed by Shenyang Machine Tool Group is a high-precision, high-efficiency and high-flexibility special CNC machine tool for processing marine diesel engine cylinder liner, cylinder head cooling water hole and heat-resistant block milling. . Wuzhong Group has taken advantage of the manufacture of CNC gantry milling machines, developed a special boring and milling machine for the railway department, and a machine tool to solve multi-process machining tasks, which has been well received by users.
(4) Grasp the weak links in the manufacture of heavy machine tools and conduct scientific and technological research experiments.
Undertake the development of "high-end CNC machine tools and basic equipment major projects" manufacturers, seize the rare opportunity, in the development of heavy-duty machine tools, while working on the key, core and common technology of heavy-duty machine tools. Breaking through and mastering the key, core, and common technical problems, achieving a technology to support a variety of products, a technology to upgrade a grade, a technology to establish a platform, has an important significance. At present, the heavy-duty machine tool industry constitutes a strategic alliance of industrial technology innovation, which will be a new development trend and also meet the needs of product innovation and development. In this way, we can better communicate with the user industry (enterprise), grasp the market demand information and master the new product development trend; cooperate with the development, rational division of labor, common enjoyment, and paid transfer, which can quickly improve the technical level of China's heavy-duty machine tool products and occupy the domestic market. Market and entering the international market will be the common aspirations of the heavy machinery industry and the important goal of fighting for it.
Third, set the industry advantages, and jointly solve the problem China's heavy-duty machine tool industry after years of technological transformation and product development and training, both production capacity and product technology level have made great progress, but compared with foreign products, we still have great deficiencies. The biggest difference is the technical level and running speed of the core operating components, product accuracy retention, machine tool reliability, and the overall machine tool manufacturing process level and quality. This is the biggest advantage of foreign machine tools, and it is also a chronic illness that has long plagued the rapid development of China's machine tool manufacturing industry. .
China's machine tool enterprises generally have the "three-three-light" business philosophy of "heavy technology reform, light research and development; heavy practical, light foundation; heavy eyes, light and long-term". In the process of users' use of domestic machine tool products, the problems that have appeared many times reflect the most serious crux, and it is also the inherent ills formed under the guidance of these “ideas”.
(1) The reliability of CNC machine tools is a key indicator of the quality of high-end heavy-duty machine tools. At present, the average trouble-free working time of domestic CNC heavy-duty machine tools is no more than 300 hours, and the average trouble-free working time of high-grade heavy-duty machine tools of 1:3 is more than 2000 hours (800 hours international standard), and the accuracy is maintained. Very high. The Trouble-Free Working Time (MTBF) is defined as "the ability of a product to perform a specified function under specified conditions and within a specified time period." Emphasize the actual effect of the product on-site use or operation process. Therefore, the trouble-free working time of the CNC machine tool should truly reflect the real situation of the fault interval of the product during the production operation, which is the product quality attribute that the majority of machine tool users really care about. Obviously, the reliability level of domestic CNC heavy-duty machine tools is significantly lower than that of foreign countries, which seriously affects the competitiveness and market share of domestic CNC heavy-duty machine tools. Improving the quality awareness of enterprises and the reliability of domestic CNC heavy-duty machine tools have become the main goal and the top priority for our heavy machine tool industry.
(2) The geometric accuracy and working precision of domestic CNC machine tools can reach higher than the design standard during the trial production, but the high-precision requirements of the platform cannot be achieved in the batch products. Foreign companies can achieve high-precision production of CNC machine tools through advanced manufacturing process control. Domestic CNC machine tools still have a distance from samples (exhibits) to goods. Under the mass production of commodities, it is still necessary to maintain the product to meet the requirements of the quality level. This is the threshold of life and death that must be crossed, and it is also the bottleneck that plagues the heavy machine tool products in China.
(3) China's heavy-duty machine tool manufacturing enterprises still lack the ability of independent innovation and basic theoretical research.
Applying the latest technology and its newly developed technology to new products in a modular form is the development trend of heavy machine tools in China. Make full use of advanced unit technology to improve product performance and expand product functions. No matter what kind of products, advanced technology is consistent, and rapid development of new products in modular form is the most in line with the trend of the times.
Special attention should be paid to the development of new products: First, in-depth study of the process characteristics and requirements of the user industry products, combined with the characteristics of the process to develop high-level processing equipment. Second, pay attention to basic theoretical research work, strengthen experimental research on key components, and strengthen the operation test and after-sales tracking service for new products and the first set of complete machines. The third is to strengthen the rectification and improvement of new products, and reduce the time period from exhibits to commodities and industrialization.
(4) Well-known manufacturers of heavy-duty machine tools in the world: WALDRI CH-COBURG, SCHIESS, INNSE, PAMA, Fest, France Heavy machine tool manufacturers such as FOREST-LINE and SORALUCE have their own well-known products, which have formed world-renowned brands and intangible assets. But they are not all products are produced, what products are well-known, but focus on doing their own special products, relying on quality, relying on credibility, relying on technology to occupy the world. This point is worthy of serious consideration and reference by China's heavy machine tool manufacturers.
We must not only achieve the world's largest heavy-duty machine tool specifications, but also limit the machine tool accuracy, reliability and advancement. In order to quickly catch up with the world's advanced technology, we have the ability to make our contribution. (Secretary of the Heavy Machine Tool Branch)

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