The market analysis firm IHS has highlighted that the access control industry is on the verge of significant transformation. Unlike the video surveillance sector, which has seen more gradual evolution, the access control market—once relatively stagnant—has recently attracted new players like Axis. This shift is being fueled by rising demand from residential users and the emergence of innovative technologies such as wireless electronic locks, all contributing to a dynamic and fast-evolving landscape.
IHS forecasts that the global electronic access control market will reach $3.5 billion in 2014, with strong growth driven by North America and emerging regions like the Middle East and Africa. The hardware segment is expected to see the most growth, particularly in the adoption of offline-operated electronic locks that can be managed via cards or wireless connectivity. As end users become more familiar with and confident in wireless technologies, this trend is set to continue expanding.
Moreover, the role of IT in the access control industry is growing significantly. In some cases, IT systems are already being used to manage and govern access control devices, signaling a deeper integration between traditional security solutions and digital infrastructure.
In 2014, the industry is expected to place greater emphasis on open standards, though widespread adoption may take several years. Many suppliers are closely monitoring how these standards are implemented. Meanwhile, technologies like NFC are gaining traction but have not yet reached their full potential in the access control space. Some manufacturers are exploring alternatives such as Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), raising questions about whether NFC will ever become the dominant technology in this field.
Another major trend is the accelerated development of IP-based access control devices. These systems offer better integration with other personal electronic devices, enabling users to manage access remotely and reducing installation costs. As the industry moves toward more connected and intelligent solutions, the future of access control looks increasingly digital, secure, and user-friendly.
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