Today's point of view
Today, the black commodity futures, except for the iron ore contract closed down, the other varieties closed up, of which the performance of double-joules was better, followed by the finished product contract. From the perspective of positions, rebar positions have reached more than 3 million hands, and they are still increasing their positions. From a technical point of view, taking the snail as an example, the daily line has received a number of upper and lower shadow K lines, indicating that there are obvious differences between the long and short places, and it is difficult to form a breakthrough at a time. In the short term, it is still dominated by shock operation, waiting for the spot direction. . From the spot point of view, environmental protection and limited production not only affect the steel mills, but also have a small impact on the construction site. The short-term fundamentals are biased between supply and demand, while stocks are at a low level. The recent frequent environmental protection news will make the market wait and see sentiment aggravated, and the short-term or oscillating operation will not be ruled out due to low inventory and high cost.
Macro hotspot
1. [Domestic commodity futures closed at a different trend, Zheng coal rebounded, crude oil led the decline] Zheng coal closed up 3.2%, glass, Shanghai tin rose more than 2%, eggs, Shanghai zinc rose 1.5%, Shanghai nickel, manganese silicon, coking coal, Corn, rapeseed meal, Shanghai copper, soybean meal, ferrosilicon, Shanghai aluminum, etc. closed up. Crude oil fell 3.7%, bitumen fell 2.4%, Zhengyou, sugar, Zheng alcohol, rubber, Shanghai lead fell more than 1%, iron ore, plastic, Shanghai silver, coke, Shanghai gold, Zheng cotton, hot coil, cotton yarn, thread, etc. Closed.
2, [afternoon index shrinks down, the subject matter succumbs to new shares, the ups and downs]
The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3130.08 points, down 0.20%, with a turnover of 168.2 billion.
The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10465.54 points, up 0.17%, with a turnover of 230 billion.
The GEM closed at 1,792.91 points, down 0.42%, with a turnover of 77.6 billion.
3. The Shanghe Qingdao Summit will be held from June 9th to 10th and will sign the Qingdao Declaration. The 18th meeting of the SCO Heads of State Council will be held in Qingdao, Shandong Province from June 9th to 10th. President Xi Jinping will preside over the meeting and attend relevant activities. (People's Daily)
4. [America's US and DPRK summit meeting will arrive in Singapore on the 28th] According to US media reports, the US and US summit meeting will arrive in Japan on the 28th and fly to Singapore on the same day to prepare for the relevant work. The guest list includes White House deputy chief of staff Joseph Hagin, presidential special assistant Patrick Clifton, presidential assistant and advancement director Bobby Peede. In addition, the US media revealed that former US ambassador to South Korea, Sung Kim, arrived in North Korea on the 27th with a group of US officials to prepare for the US-DPRK summit. According to sources, Jin Cheng, who is now in the Philippines, was summoned by the White House to lead the preparatory work for the US-DPRK summit.
Market today
Raw material
[Steel billet] The national billet market prices have risen and fallen. Tangshan steel billet rose 10 yuan / ton, Jiangsu rose 20 yuan / ton, Shanxi fell 10 yuan / ton. Today, Tangshan billet straight transaction can be, warehousing spot 3680-3700 low price a small transaction, high price temporarily wait and see, steel futures red shock, the spot market is very willing to price, part of the downstream finished products can be sold, the overall transaction is general. Today, Shandong billet is stable compared with last Friday, Q235 billet factory 3690-3700 yuan / ton, billet resources supply is in short supply, multi-row pre-order orders, less spot resources, cautious wait-and-see downstream.
[Domestic mines] The market of major domestic production areas has risen and fallen. The price of the Xingxing Bureau in North China fell by RMB 18/ton, and the price of Shahe and Wu'an fell by RMB 5/ton; the price of Huoqiu in East China fell by RMB 21/ton, and the prices in Northeast China and South China were temporarily stable. Specifically, the North China-Tangshan 66% dry-based tax-included cash factory is 635-645 yuan / ton, the west of the 66% dry-based tax-included cash out of 620-630 yuan / ton, Qian'an 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 645-655 yuan / ton; Zunhua 66% dry basis tax-included cash factory 630-640 yuan / ton.
[Imported mines] The price of early-imported import traders was stable compared with last Friday, and was partially lowered by RMB 5/ton. The mainstream price of PB powder in Shandong area is 455-460 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price of PB powder in Tangshan area is 460-465 yuan/ton. Traders' early quotations were fair, but at the beginning of the week, steel mills mostly used exploratory inquiry.
Steel spot
Construction steel: Today's domestic construction steel prices are mixed, and there is a differentiation between regions. In terms of specific prices, the average price of 25 major cities nationwide was 4,065 yuan/ton, which was the same as that of the previous trading day. In Jinan and Fuzhou, the price dropped by 50-60 yuan/ton due to demand problems; while Nanning was affected by environmental protection and limited production. The price rose by 80 yuan / ton; the rest of the region was narrowly adjusted. Specifically, due to the impact of the environmental protection group inspection, market confidence has been boosted. Therefore, some of the low-end resources in the market opened today, and the price has risen slightly. The market with high prices has been slow due to high turnover, and prices have fallen. Judging from the current situation, with the gradual development of environmental inspections, production has entered a downward channel, and demand is affected by high temperature and rainy weather. The performance is not stable, so the market has a tendency to enter a weak pattern of supply and demand. On the whole, the market inventories are low, and it is expected that domestic building materials prices will fluctuate in the short term.
Hot-rolled coil: Today, the hot rolling price of 24 major cities in the country is consolidating. The average price of 3.0 hot-rolled coils is 4,290 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, and the national average price of 4.75 hot-rolled coils is 4232. Yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. Today's futures market fluctuates and runs, the market waits and sees sentiment is strong, business quotations remain stable, and individual markets rise slightly. At present, the market demand is relatively general, the transaction is not released, and the price is not enough. However, the recent market inventory is still declining, the arrival of new resources is relatively limited, the pressure on merchants is not large, and the willingness to sell at low prices is not strong. In addition, the market price of steel billet fell by RMB 20/ton over the weekend, and today it rose slightly by RMB 10/ton. The current price of carbon billet is RMB 3,610/ton. On the whole, the price of the hot-rolled market is expected to fluctuate strongly tomorrow.
Medium and heavy plate: Today, the domestic plate market price has risen slightly. The average price of 20mm plate in 23 major cities nationwide is 4415 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. With the early trading of the market in the early trading market and the billet price rising slightly by RMB 10/ton, the overall mentality of the spot market was optimistic, coupled with the current tight resources and shortage of specifications, the spot price remained high. However, considering that the current spot price is already at a relatively high level, it is relatively weak to continue to explore, and it is expected that the short-term domestic plate market price will keep moving and consolidation.
Cold rolling: Today's national cold rolling prices rose slightly. Price: 1.0 national cold rolling average price of 4,649 yuan / ton, compared with the previous working day price rose 4 yuan / ton. The main market price: Shanghai market 1.0mm WISCO coil plate offer 4550 yuan / ton, Guangzhou market 1.0mm Angang coil offer 4610 yuan / ton, Tianjin market 1.0mm Angang coil offer 4490 yuan / ton. Market: Today's early trading futures rose to drive traders' sentiment, and some markets rose 20-40 yuan/ton. Due to the price of Panzhihua Iron and Steel, Chongqing and Chengdu have raised their prices by RMB 40/ton. After the price increase, the market transactions have not been heavy, and the wait-and-see attitude of the end customers is relatively strong. On the whole, it is more likely that the cold rolling price will rise in the future.
Profiles: Today, the domestic steel market price consolidation has become stronger, and spot prices in most regions have remained consolidating, but some cities have been boosted by futures prices by 10-20 yuan/ton. Tangshan profiles were stable in the early trading, the channel steel rose 10 yuan / ton, the plate I-beam rose 10-20 yuan / ton, affected by the steel billet led 10 yuan / ton, the traders' attitude was positive, the market was active There is a cost of billet price support, and the profit of the billet mill is meager or even upside down, and the steel mills are willing to pay a good price. The price of a few cities in East China's profile prices rose slightly by 20-30 yuan/ton. In the afternoon market, the transaction is still normal, but the resources are tight to support the spot to maintain a high position, short-term spot ups and downs. The prices of South China profiles continued to be stable, and the H-beams were slightly lower in specifications. Due to poor transactions, the business mentality was cautious and the main shipments were mainly. On the whole, at present, the supply and demand of the market are insufficient, and the spot price continues to be at a high level. In the near future, it will continue to maintain a trend of consolidation.
Steel pipes: Today's domestic steel pipe prices are rising and falling. In terms of varieties, the average price of welded pipe 4 inch 3.75mm is 4405 yuan / ton, up 2 yuan / ton from the previous trading day; galvanized pipe 4 inch 3.75mm national average price 5243 yuan / ton, down from the previous trading day 3 yuan / ton; seamless pipe 108 * 405mm national average price 5234 yuan / ton, down 4 yuan / ton from the previous trading day. In terms of pipe factory, Tianjin Youfa, Juncheng and Lida ex-factory prices were raised by RMB 20/ton, and Linyi mainstream seamless pipe factory hot-rolling price was RMB 4,750-4,850/ton. In terms of welded pipes and galvanized pipes, the weekend market shipments are sluggish, terminal demand is general, and merchants are mainly shipping, and they are waiting in the short term. In terms of seamless tubes, the market is not well-sold, the business confidence is insufficient, the operation is cautious, and the library is replenished as needed. It is expected that the market price of steel pipe will be weakened and run at a weaker level tomorrow.
Futures: Today, domestic black commodity futures fluctuated and closed up, with a small volume of transactions. Among them, coking coal showed strong performance and rose sharply; finished steel and coke rose slightly, and iron ore weakened. Specifically: affected by the environmental protection policies across the country, the early market quickly rose, the finished products led the rise, the spot market was also more popular, the local market rose to varying degrees, the afternoon disk with the iron ore diving, driving the black system as a whole Falling down, with the continuous advancement of environmental protection, the positive effect of the news on the market is gradually weakened. In the end, the market will still determine the future price factor based on the relationship between supply and demand. In the short-term, iron ore is maintained in the context of maintaining high profits of steel mills. Repeatedly low innovation, suppressing spot prices to rise further. From the perspective of the Snail Daily, today's long shadows indicate that the market is mostly divided, and the short-term will continue to maintain a wide-ranging volatility pattern. The above recommendations are recommended, and the dips are long and the rolling operations are the main ones.
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